🧠 Metacognitive AI
Autonomous Agents • Confidence Scoring • Reflection Loops • Regime Detection
7 Signal Agents + Meta Layer
Real-time Analysis
7 Strategies
🎯 Choose Asset for Analysis
Category radio → dropdown filters. Or type any Yahoo symbol.
🧠 Meta Analysis: AAPL
hold
Signal
hold
Confidence
38.1%
Regime
high_volatility
🤖 ML Forecast Status
no_signal
Agent: ml_forecast_main
Confidence: 0.0%
Status: ML forecast unavailable: No live ensemble members were available for this symbol
Reflection Notes
⚠️ High signal dispersion - multiple conflicting signals detected
⚠️ Very low confidence in current signals - consider reducing position size
Agent Consensus
Showing all signal agents, including ML Forecast and Risk Manager.
| Agent | Role | Signal | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
|
researcher_main
Mixed signals from research
|
researcher | hold | 42.2% |
|
trader_momentum
Momentum strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA
|
trader | buy | 46.8% |
|
trader_reversion
Mean Reversion strategy: Bearish signals from RSI
|
trader | sell | 59.0% |
|
trader_breakout
Breakout strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA
|
trader | buy | 57.0% |
|
trader_trend
Trend Following strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA
|
trader | buy | 46.8% |
|
ml_forecast_main
ML forecast unavailable: No live ensemble members were available for this symbol
|
executor | no_signal | 0.0% |
|
risk_manager_main
Moderate risk: high volatility
|
risk_manager | hold | 56.0% |
View Raw Data
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timestamp": "2026-07-18T17:52:56.884737",
"execution_time_ms": 1161.74,
"regime": "high_volatility",
"asset_category": "Stocks",
"ml_suppressed": false,
"ml_suppression_reason": "",
"final_signal": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "hold",
"confidence_level": "low",
"confidence_score": 38.114136,
"agent_consensus": {
"researcher_main": "hold",
"trader_momentum": "buy",
"trader_reversion": "sell",
"trader_breakout": "buy",
"trader_trend": "buy",
"ml_forecast_main": "no_signal",
"risk_manager_main": "hold"
},
"risk_assessment": {
"volatility_risk": 36.28516621279333,
"regime_risk": "high_volatility",
"confidence_adjusted": true,
"position_size_factor": 0.0048,
"capital_allocator": {
"base_position": 0.3811,
"regime_multiplier": 0.5,
"disagreement_multiplier": 0.55,
"conviction_multiplier": 0.2,
"event_multiplier": 0.35,
"volatility_multiplier": 0.65,
"final_allocation": 0.0048,
"conviction_used": "HOLD",
"action_mode": "watchlist_bias_only",
"asset_category": "Stocks",
"asset_multiplier": 1.0
}
},
"regime": "high_volatility",
"reflection_notes": [
"\u26a0\ufe0f High signal dispersion - multiple conflicting signals detected",
"\u26a0\ufe0f High signal dispersion - multiple conflicting signals detected",
"\u26a0\ufe0f High signal dispersion - multiple conflicting signals detected"
],
"timestamp": "2026-07-18T17:52:56.884444",
"expires_at": "2026-07-19T17:52:56.884433",
"conviction": "HOLD"
},
"meta_analysis": {
"consensus": "hold",
"confidence_level": "very_low",
"confidence_score": 21.97853111954607,
"disagreement": 0.5714285714285714,
"agent_breakdown": {
"researcher_main": {
"role": "researcher",
"signal": "hold",
"confidence": 42.19943567364498,
"reasoning": "Mixed signals from research",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"trader_momentum": {
"role": "trader",
"signal": "buy",
"confidence": 46.75,
"reasoning": "Momentum strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"trader_reversion": {
"role": "trader",
"signal": "sell",
"confidence": 59.0,
"reasoning": "Mean Reversion strategy: Bearish signals from RSI",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"trader_breakout": {
"role": "trader",
"signal": "buy",
"confidence": 57.0,
"reasoning": "Breakout strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"trader_trend": {
"role": "trader",
"signal": "buy",
"confidence": 46.75,
"reasoning": "Trend Following strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"ml_forecast_main": {
"role": "executor",
"signal": "no_signal",
"confidence": 0,
"reasoning": "ML forecast unavailable: No live ensemble members were available for this symbol",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"risk_manager_main": {
"role": "risk_manager",
"signal": "hold",
"confidence": 56.00000000000001,
"reasoning": "Moderate risk: high volatility",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
}
},
"signal_counts": {
"hold": 2,
"buy": 3,
"sell": 1,
"no_signal": 1
},
"weak_bias_summary": {
"overall_bias": "bullish",
"ml_weight": 0.0,
"dominant_agents": [
"trader_reversion"
],
"confidence_adjusted_bias": "bullish",
"agent_biases": {}
},
"meta_probability": {
"bullish": 0.571,
"neutral": 0.205,
"bearish": 0.224
},
"weighted_meta_components": {
"bullish_weight": 0.5711,
"neutral_weight": 0.205,
"bearish_weight": 0.2239,
"total_bias_weight": 1.0
},
"action_guidance": {
"mode": "watchlist_bias_only",
"trigger": "breakout above resistance (333.74) OR volume expansion",
"risk_note": "high RSI (88.6) limits upside near-term; trend context: strong uptrend; agent disagreement is elevated"
},
"conviction": "HOLD",
"portfolio_overlay": {
"mode": "standalone",
"related_symbols": [],
"impact_scope": "single_symbol"
},
"event_overlay": {
"significant_news": false,
"news_volume": 8,
"event_bias": "neutral",
"trigger": null,
"override_applied": false
}
},
"agent_signals": [
{
"agent_id": "researcher_main",
"agent_role": "researcher",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "hold",
"confidence": 42.19943567364498,
"reasoning": "Mixed signals from research",
"timestamp": "2026-07-18T17:52:56.449696",
"metadata": {
"sentiment": -0.1900282163177509,
"news_volume": 8,
"pe_ratio": 40.31,
"pb_ratio": 45.96,
"eps": 8.28,
"global_regime": "high_volatility",
"detected_regime": "high_volatility"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "trader_momentum",
"agent_role": "trader",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "buy",
"confidence": 46.75,
"reasoning": "Momentum strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"timestamp": "2026-07-18T17:52:56.482462",
"metadata": {
"price": 333.739990234375,
"sma_20": 305.51799926757815,
"sma_50": 302.6324157714844,
"sma_200": 273.880447769165,
"ema_12": 317.5524016373207,
"ema_26": 308.730273641838,
"macd": 8.822127995482731,
"macd_signal": 5.487913300286963,
"macd_hist": 3.334214695195768,
"rsi_14": 88.58509070185222,
"bb_upper": 339.20365527455215,
"bb_middle": 305.51799926757815,
"bb_lower": 271.83234326060415,
"bb_width": 0.22051503405841236,
"bb_position": 0.9189022021859097,
"atr_14": 8.255715506417411,
"volume_ratio": 0.9399171574452797,
"obv": 1384294700.0,
"support_60d": 267.3636474609375,
"resistance_60d": 333.739990234375,
"adx": 4.411668352808558,
"volatility_20d": 36.28516621279333,
"volatility_60d": 28.039065461616413,
"crossovers": {
"golden_cross": "False",
"death_cross": "False",
"price_above_50": "True",
"price_above_200": "True",
"macd_bullish": "False",
"macd_bearish": "False"
},
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"global_regime": "high_volatility",
"detected_regime": "high_volatility"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "trader_reversion",
"agent_role": "trader",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "sell",
"confidence": 59.0,
"reasoning": "Mean Reversion strategy: Bearish signals from RSI",
"timestamp": "2026-07-18T17:52:56.511458",
"metadata": {
"price": 333.739990234375,
"sma_20": 305.51799926757815,
"sma_50": 302.6324157714844,
"sma_200": 273.880447769165,
"ema_12": 317.5524016373207,
"ema_26": 308.730273641838,
"macd": 8.822127995482731,
"macd_signal": 5.487913300286963,
"macd_hist": 3.334214695195768,
"rsi_14": 88.58509070185222,
"bb_upper": 339.20365527455215,
"bb_middle": 305.51799926757815,
"bb_lower": 271.83234326060415,
"bb_width": 0.22051503405841236,
"bb_position": 0.9189022021859097,
"atr_14": 8.255715506417411,
"volume_ratio": 0.9399171574452797,
"obv": 1384294700.0,
"support_60d": 267.3636474609375,
"resistance_60d": 333.739990234375,
"adx": 4.411668352808558,
"volatility_20d": 36.28516621279333,
"volatility_60d": 28.039065461616413,
"crossovers": {
"golden_cross": "False",
"death_cross": "False",
"price_above_50": "True",
"price_above_200": "True",
"macd_bullish": "False",
"macd_bearish": "False"
},
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"global_regime": "high_volatility",
"detected_regime": "high_volatility"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "trader_breakout",
"agent_role": "trader",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "buy",
"confidence": 57.0,
"reasoning": "Breakout strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"timestamp": "2026-07-18T17:52:56.545357",
"metadata": {
"price": 333.739990234375,
"sma_20": 305.51799926757815,
"sma_50": 302.6324157714844,
"sma_200": 273.880447769165,
"ema_12": 317.5524016373207,
"ema_26": 308.730273641838,
"macd": 8.822127995482731,
"macd_signal": 5.487913300286963,
"macd_hist": 3.334214695195768,
"rsi_14": 88.58509070185222,
"bb_upper": 339.20365527455215,
"bb_middle": 305.51799926757815,
"bb_lower": 271.83234326060415,
"bb_width": 0.22051503405841236,
"bb_position": 0.9189022021859097,
"atr_14": 8.255715506417411,
"volume_ratio": 0.9399171574452797,
"obv": 1384294700.0,
"support_60d": 267.3636474609375,
"resistance_60d": 333.739990234375,
"adx": 4.411668352808558,
"volatility_20d": 36.28516621279333,
"volatility_60d": 28.039065461616413,
"crossovers": {
"golden_cross": "False",
"death_cross": "False",
"price_above_50": "True",
"price_above_200": "True",
"macd_bullish": "False",
"macd_bearish": "False"
},
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"global_regime": "high_volatility",
"detected_regime": "high_volatility"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "trader_trend",
"agent_role": "trader",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "buy",
"confidence": 46.75,
"reasoning": "Trend Following strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"timestamp": "2026-07-18T17:52:56.576013",
"metadata": {
"price": 333.739990234375,
"sma_20": 305.51799926757815,
"sma_50": 302.6324157714844,
"sma_200": 273.880447769165,
"ema_12": 317.5524016373207,
"ema_26": 308.730273641838,
"macd": 8.822127995482731,
"macd_signal": 5.487913300286963,
"macd_hist": 3.334214695195768,
"rsi_14": 88.58509070185222,
"bb_upper": 339.20365527455215,
"bb_middle": 305.51799926757815,
"bb_lower": 271.83234326060415,
"bb_width": 0.22051503405841236,
"bb_position": 0.9189022021859097,
"atr_14": 8.255715506417411,
"volume_ratio": 0.9399171574452797,
"obv": 1384294700.0,
"support_60d": 267.3636474609375,
"resistance_60d": 333.739990234375,
"adx": 4.411668352808558,
"volatility_20d": 36.28516621279333,
"volatility_60d": 28.039065461616413,
"crossovers": {
"golden_cross": "False",
"death_cross": "False",
"price_above_50": "True",
"price_above_200": "True",
"macd_bullish": "False",
"macd_bearish": "False"
},
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"global_regime": "high_volatility",
"detected_regime": "high_volatility"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "ml_forecast_main",
"agent_role": "executor",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "no_signal",
"confidence": 0,
"reasoning": "ML forecast unavailable: No live ensemble members were available for this symbol",
"timestamp": "2026-07-18T17:52:56.787745",
"metadata": {
"source": "trained_ml",
"global_regime": "high_volatility",
"detected_regime": "high_volatility",
"market_regime": "high_volatility",
"coverage_snapshot": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"roots": [
"/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models",
"/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models/research"
],
"method_counts": {},
"latest_artifacts": {},
"total_matches": 0,
"has_any": false
},
"selector_payload": {
"error": "No live ensemble members were available for this symbol",
"error_code": "NO_ENSEMBLE_MEMBERS",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"horizon": "5d",
"selected_model": "ensemble"
},
"action_layer": {
"regime": "high_volatility"
},
"quality_gate": {
"global_regime": "high_volatility"
}
}
},
{
"agent_id": "risk_manager_main",
"agent_role": "risk_manager",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "hold",
"confidence": 56.00000000000001,
"reasoning": "Moderate risk: high volatility",
"timestamp": "2026-07-18T17:52:56.861653",
"metadata": {
"regime": "high_volatility",
"volatility": 36.28516621279333,
"risk_level": "high",
"current_drawdown": 0.0,
"max_drawdown_1y": -13.798524071888174,
"risk_action": "CAUTION",
"global_regime": "high_volatility",
"detected_regime": "high_volatility"
}
}
],
"reflection_notes": [
"\u26a0\ufe0f High signal dispersion - multiple conflicting signals detected",
"\u26a0\ufe0f Very low confidence in current signals - consider reducing position size"
],
"drift_analysis": {
"drift_detected": false,
"drift_score": 0,
"regime_changes_30d": 0,
"current_regime": "high_volatility",
"recommendation": "Models performing as expected"
},
"technical_summary": {
"price": 333.739990234375,
"rsi": 88.58509070185222,
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"volatility": 36.28516621279333,
"support": 267.3636474609375,
"resistance": 333.739990234375
}
}
🤖 Active Agent Architecture
Research & Analysis
- • Researcher Agent - Fundamentals & Sentiment
- • Trader (Momentum) - Technical Momentum
- • Trader (Mean Reversion) - Oversold/Overbought
- • Trader (Breakout) - Price Breakouts
- • ML Forecast Agent - Trained Model Inference
Risk & Meta
- • Trader (Trend Following) - Trend Analysis
- • Risk Manager - Volatility & Drawdown
- • Meta Analyst - Consensus & Confidence