🧠 Metacognitive AI

Autonomous Agents • Confidence Scoring • Reflection Loops • Regime Detection

7 Signal Agents + Meta Layer Real-time Analysis 7 Strategies

🎯 Choose Asset for Analysis

Category radio → dropdown filters. Or type any Yahoo symbol.

Tip: ?symbol=TSLA?symbol=BTC-USD
🧠 Meta Analysis: AAPL hold
Signal
hold
Confidence
48.3%
Regime
sideways
🤖 ML Forecast Status no_signal
Agent: ml_forecast_main
Confidence: 0.0%
Status: Trained ML stack unavailable

Reflection Notes

⚠️ Very low confidence in current signals - consider reducing position size

Agent Consensus

Showing all signal agents, including ML Forecast and Risk Manager.
AgentRoleSignalConfidence
researcher_main
Mixed signals from research
researcher hold 53.1%
trader_momentum
Momentum strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA
trader buy 47.8%
trader_reversion
Mean Reversion strategy: Neutral market conditions
trader hold 47.8%
trader_breakout
Breakout strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA
trader buy 57.0%
trader_trend
Trend Following strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA
trader buy 47.8%
ml_forecast_main
Trained ML stack unavailable
executor no_signal 0.0%
risk_manager_main
Moderate risk: moderate volatility
risk_manager hold 64.0%
View Raw Data
{
  "symbol": "AAPL",
  "timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:50.426008",
  "execution_time_ms": 1476.53,
  "regime": "sideways",
  "asset_category": "Stocks",
  "ml_suppressed": false,
  "ml_suppression_reason": "",
  "final_signal": {
    "symbol": "AAPL",
    "signal_type": "hold",
    "confidence_level": "low",
    "confidence_score": 48.26232,
    "agent_consensus": {
      "researcher_main": "hold",
      "trader_momentum": "buy",
      "trader_reversion": "hold",
      "trader_breakout": "buy",
      "trader_trend": "buy",
      "ml_forecast_main": "no_signal",
      "risk_manager_main": "hold"
    },
    "risk_assessment": {
      "volatility_risk": 28.84669669332776,
      "regime_risk": "sideways",
      "confidence_adjusted": true,
      "position_size_factor": 0.0111,
      "capital_allocator": {
        "base_position": 0.4826,
        "regime_multiplier": 0.75,
        "disagreement_multiplier": 0.55,
        "conviction_multiplier": 0.2,
        "event_multiplier": 0.35,
        "volatility_multiplier": 0.8,
        "final_allocation": 0.0111,
        "conviction_used": "HOLD",
        "action_mode": "watchlist_bias_only",
        "asset_category": "Stocks",
        "asset_multiplier": 1.0
      }
    },
    "regime": "sideways",
    "reflection_notes": [
      "\u26a0\ufe0f High signal dispersion - multiple conflicting signals detected",
      "\u26a0\ufe0f Very low confidence in current signals - consider reducing position size"
    ],
    "timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:50.425672",
    "expires_at": "2026-05-02T16:17:50.425659",
    "conviction": "HOLD"
  },
  "meta_analysis": {
    "consensus": "hold",
    "confidence_level": "very_low",
    "confidence_score": 22.66673817949953,
    "disagreement": 0.5714285714285714,
    "agent_breakdown": {
      "researcher_main": {
        "role": "researcher",
        "signal": "hold",
        "confidence": 53.08433451299346,
        "reasoning": "Mixed signals from research",
        "weak_bias": null,
        "directional_probability": null,
        "why_it_matters": null
      },
      "trader_momentum": {
        "role": "trader",
        "signal": "buy",
        "confidence": 47.75,
        "reasoning": "Momentum strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
        "weak_bias": null,
        "directional_probability": null,
        "why_it_matters": null
      },
      "trader_reversion": {
        "role": "trader",
        "signal": "hold",
        "confidence": 47.75,
        "reasoning": "Mean Reversion strategy: Neutral market conditions",
        "weak_bias": null,
        "directional_probability": null,
        "why_it_matters": null
      },
      "trader_breakout": {
        "role": "trader",
        "signal": "buy",
        "confidence": 57.0,
        "reasoning": "Breakout strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
        "weak_bias": null,
        "directional_probability": null,
        "why_it_matters": null
      },
      "trader_trend": {
        "role": "trader",
        "signal": "buy",
        "confidence": 47.75,
        "reasoning": "Trend Following strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
        "weak_bias": null,
        "directional_probability": null,
        "why_it_matters": null
      },
      "ml_forecast_main": {
        "role": "executor",
        "signal": "no_signal",
        "confidence": 0,
        "reasoning": "Trained ML stack unavailable",
        "weak_bias": null,
        "directional_probability": null,
        "why_it_matters": null
      },
      "risk_manager_main": {
        "role": "risk_manager",
        "signal": "hold",
        "confidence": 63.99999999999999,
        "reasoning": "Moderate risk: moderate volatility",
        "weak_bias": null,
        "directional_probability": null,
        "why_it_matters": null
      }
    },
    "signal_counts": {
      "hold": 3,
      "buy": 3,
      "no_signal": 1
    },
    "weak_bias_summary": {
      "overall_bias": "bullish",
      "ml_weight": 0.0,
      "dominant_agents": [
        "risk_manager_main"
      ],
      "confidence_adjusted_bias": "bullish",
      "agent_biases": {}
    },
    "meta_probability": {
      "bullish": 0.616,
      "neutral": 0.384,
      "bearish": 0.0
    },
    "weighted_meta_components": {
      "bullish_weight": 0.6161,
      "neutral_weight": 0.3839,
      "bearish_weight": 0.0,
      "total_bias_weight": 1.0
    },
    "action_guidance": {
      "mode": "watchlist_bias_only",
      "trigger": "breakout above resistance (284.34) OR volume expansion",
      "risk_note": "high RSI (71.5) limits upside near-term; trend context: strong uptrend; agent disagreement is elevated"
    },
    "conviction": "HOLD",
    "portfolio_overlay": {
      "mode": "standalone",
      "related_symbols": [],
      "impact_scope": "single_symbol"
    },
    "event_overlay": {
      "significant_news": true,
      "news_volume": 18,
      "event_bias": "neutral",
      "trigger": null,
      "override_applied": false
    }
  },
  "agent_signals": [
    {
      "agent_id": "researcher_main",
      "agent_role": "researcher",
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "signal_type": "hold",
      "confidence": 53.08433451299346,
      "reasoning": "Mixed signals from research",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.634663",
      "metadata": {
        "sentiment": 0.35421672564967277,
        "news_volume": 18,
        "significant_news": true,
        "pe_ratio": 34.35,
        "pb_ratio": 44.98,
        "eps": 7.9,
        "global_regime": "sideways",
        "detected_regime": "sideways"
      }
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "trader_momentum",
      "agent_role": "trader",
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "signal_type": "buy",
      "confidence": 47.75,
      "reasoning": "Momentum strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.674993",
      "metadata": {
        "price": 284.3399963378906,
        "sma_20": 266.5689987182617,
        "sma_50": 261.3025994873047,
        "sma_200": 254.92236846923828,
        "ema_12": 270.94331475451384,
        "ema_26": 266.2470201590478,
        "macd": 4.696294595466043,
        "macd_signal": 3.5218482986367263,
        "macd_hist": 1.1744462968293163,
        "rsi_14": 71.51660785507012,
        "bb_upper": 281.2485501457747,
        "bb_middle": 266.5689987182617,
        "bb_lower": 251.8894472907487,
        "bb_width": 0.1101369739024146,
        "bb_position": 1.105297706383651,
        "atr_14": 6.769995553152902,
        "volume_ratio": 1.0775528047846004,
        "obv": 877625744.0,
        "support_60d": 246.6300048828125,
        "resistance_60d": 284.3399963378906,
        "adx": 9.750808230297565,
        "volatility_20d": 28.84669669332776,
        "volatility_60d": 26.40106790761136,
        "crossovers": {
          "golden_cross": "False",
          "death_cross": "False",
          "price_above_50": "True",
          "price_above_200": "True",
          "macd_bullish": "False",
          "macd_bearish": "False"
        },
        "trend": "strong_uptrend",
        "global_regime": "sideways",
        "detected_regime": "sideways"
      }
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "trader_reversion",
      "agent_role": "trader",
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "signal_type": "hold",
      "confidence": 47.75,
      "reasoning": "Mean Reversion strategy: Neutral market conditions",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.713867",
      "metadata": {
        "price": 284.3399963378906,
        "sma_20": 266.5689987182617,
        "sma_50": 261.3025994873047,
        "sma_200": 254.92236846923828,
        "ema_12": 270.94331475451384,
        "ema_26": 266.2470201590478,
        "macd": 4.696294595466043,
        "macd_signal": 3.5218482986367263,
        "macd_hist": 1.1744462968293163,
        "rsi_14": 71.51660785507012,
        "bb_upper": 281.2485501457747,
        "bb_middle": 266.5689987182617,
        "bb_lower": 251.8894472907487,
        "bb_width": 0.1101369739024146,
        "bb_position": 1.105297706383651,
        "atr_14": 6.769995553152902,
        "volume_ratio": 1.0775528047846004,
        "obv": 877625744.0,
        "support_60d": 246.6300048828125,
        "resistance_60d": 284.3399963378906,
        "adx": 9.750808230297565,
        "volatility_20d": 28.84669669332776,
        "volatility_60d": 26.40106790761136,
        "crossovers": {
          "golden_cross": "False",
          "death_cross": "False",
          "price_above_50": "True",
          "price_above_200": "True",
          "macd_bullish": "False",
          "macd_bearish": "False"
        },
        "trend": "strong_uptrend",
        "global_regime": "sideways",
        "detected_regime": "sideways"
      }
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "trader_breakout",
      "agent_role": "trader",
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "signal_type": "buy",
      "confidence": 57.0,
      "reasoning": "Breakout strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.751366",
      "metadata": {
        "price": 284.3399963378906,
        "sma_20": 266.5689987182617,
        "sma_50": 261.3025994873047,
        "sma_200": 254.92236846923828,
        "ema_12": 270.94331475451384,
        "ema_26": 266.2470201590478,
        "macd": 4.696294595466043,
        "macd_signal": 3.5218482986367263,
        "macd_hist": 1.1744462968293163,
        "rsi_14": 71.51660785507012,
        "bb_upper": 281.2485501457747,
        "bb_middle": 266.5689987182617,
        "bb_lower": 251.8894472907487,
        "bb_width": 0.1101369739024146,
        "bb_position": 1.105297706383651,
        "atr_14": 6.769995553152902,
        "volume_ratio": 1.0775528047846004,
        "obv": 877625744.0,
        "support_60d": 246.6300048828125,
        "resistance_60d": 284.3399963378906,
        "adx": 9.750808230297565,
        "volatility_20d": 28.84669669332776,
        "volatility_60d": 26.40106790761136,
        "crossovers": {
          "golden_cross": "False",
          "death_cross": "False",
          "price_above_50": "True",
          "price_above_200": "True",
          "macd_bullish": "False",
          "macd_bearish": "False"
        },
        "trend": "strong_uptrend",
        "global_regime": "sideways",
        "detected_regime": "sideways"
      }
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "trader_trend",
      "agent_role": "trader",
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "signal_type": "buy",
      "confidence": 47.75,
      "reasoning": "Trend Following strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.784304",
      "metadata": {
        "price": 284.3399963378906,
        "sma_20": 266.5689987182617,
        "sma_50": 261.3025994873047,
        "sma_200": 254.92236846923828,
        "ema_12": 270.94331475451384,
        "ema_26": 266.2470201590478,
        "macd": 4.696294595466043,
        "macd_signal": 3.5218482986367263,
        "macd_hist": 1.1744462968293163,
        "rsi_14": 71.51660785507012,
        "bb_upper": 281.2485501457747,
        "bb_middle": 266.5689987182617,
        "bb_lower": 251.8894472907487,
        "bb_width": 0.1101369739024146,
        "bb_position": 1.105297706383651,
        "atr_14": 6.769995553152902,
        "volume_ratio": 1.0775528047846004,
        "obv": 877625744.0,
        "support_60d": 246.6300048828125,
        "resistance_60d": 284.3399963378906,
        "adx": 9.750808230297565,
        "volatility_20d": 28.84669669332776,
        "volatility_60d": 26.40106790761136,
        "crossovers": {
          "golden_cross": "False",
          "death_cross": "False",
          "price_above_50": "True",
          "price_above_200": "True",
          "macd_bullish": "False",
          "macd_bearish": "False"
        },
        "trend": "strong_uptrend",
        "global_regime": "sideways",
        "detected_regime": "sideways"
      }
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "ml_forecast_main",
      "agent_role": "executor",
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "signal_type": "no_signal",
      "confidence": 0,
      "reasoning": "Trained ML stack unavailable",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:50.270531",
      "metadata": {
        "source": "trained_ml",
        "global_regime": "sideways",
        "detected_regime": "sideways",
        "market_regime": "sideways",
        "coverage_snapshot": {
          "symbol": "AAPL",
          "roots": [
            "/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models",
            "/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models/research"
          ],
          "method_counts": {
            "rf": 15,
            "xgb": 15,
            "lightgbm": 15
          },
          "latest_artifacts": {
            "rf": "/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models/research/AAPL_rf_5d_20260430.pkl",
            "xgb": "/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models/research/AAPL_xgb_5d_20260430.pkl",
            "lightgbm": "/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models/research/AAPL_lightgbm_5d_20260430.pkl"
          },
          "total_matches": 45,
          "has_any": true
        },
        "action_layer": {
          "regime": "sideways"
        },
        "quality_gate": {
          "global_regime": "sideways"
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "risk_manager_main",
      "agent_role": "risk_manager",
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "signal_type": "hold",
      "confidence": 63.99999999999999,
      "reasoning": "Moderate risk: moderate volatility",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:50.385672",
      "metadata": {
        "regime": "sideways",
        "volatility": 28.84669669332776,
        "risk_level": "moderate",
        "current_drawdown": -0.5534572291681639,
        "max_drawdown_1y": -13.798524235020482,
        "risk_action": "NEUTRAL",
        "global_regime": "sideways",
        "detected_regime": "sideways"
      }
    }
  ],
  "reflection_notes": [
    "\u26a0\ufe0f Very low confidence in current signals - consider reducing position size"
  ],
  "drift_analysis": {
    "drift_detected": false,
    "drift_score": 20,
    "regime_changes_30d": 1,
    "current_regime": "sideways",
    "recommendation": "Models performing as expected"
  },
  "technical_summary": {
    "price": 284.3399963378906,
    "rsi": 71.51660785507012,
    "trend": "strong_uptrend",
    "volatility": 28.84669669332776,
    "support": 246.6300048828125,
    "resistance": 284.3399963378906
  }
}
📄 PDF Report 📊 Excel Report 🔧 JSON Data
🤖 Active Agent Architecture

Research & Analysis

  • • Researcher Agent - Fundamentals & Sentiment
  • • Trader (Momentum) - Technical Momentum
  • • Trader (Mean Reversion) - Oversold/Overbought
  • • Trader (Breakout) - Price Breakouts
  • • ML Forecast Agent - Trained Model Inference

Risk & Meta

  • • Trader (Trend Following) - Trend Analysis
  • • Risk Manager - Volatility & Drawdown
  • • Meta Analyst - Consensus & Confidence