🧠 Metacognitive AI
Autonomous Agents • Confidence Scoring • Reflection Loops • Regime Detection
7 Signal Agents + Meta Layer
Real-time Analysis
7 Strategies
🎯 Choose Asset for Analysis
Category radio → dropdown filters. Or type any Yahoo symbol.
🧠 Meta Analysis: AAPL
hold
Signal
hold
Confidence
48.3%
Regime
sideways
🤖 ML Forecast Status
no_signal
Agent: ml_forecast_main
Confidence: 0.0%
Status: Trained ML stack unavailable
Reflection Notes
⚠️ Very low confidence in current signals - consider reducing position size
Agent Consensus
Showing all signal agents, including ML Forecast and Risk Manager.
| Agent | Role | Signal | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
|
researcher_main
Mixed signals from research
|
researcher | hold | 53.1% |
|
trader_momentum
Momentum strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA
|
trader | buy | 47.8% |
|
trader_reversion
Mean Reversion strategy: Neutral market conditions
|
trader | hold | 47.8% |
|
trader_breakout
Breakout strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA
|
trader | buy | 57.0% |
|
trader_trend
Trend Following strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA
|
trader | buy | 47.8% |
|
ml_forecast_main
Trained ML stack unavailable
|
executor | no_signal | 0.0% |
|
risk_manager_main
Moderate risk: moderate volatility
|
risk_manager | hold | 64.0% |
View Raw Data
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:50.426008",
"execution_time_ms": 1476.53,
"regime": "sideways",
"asset_category": "Stocks",
"ml_suppressed": false,
"ml_suppression_reason": "",
"final_signal": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "hold",
"confidence_level": "low",
"confidence_score": 48.26232,
"agent_consensus": {
"researcher_main": "hold",
"trader_momentum": "buy",
"trader_reversion": "hold",
"trader_breakout": "buy",
"trader_trend": "buy",
"ml_forecast_main": "no_signal",
"risk_manager_main": "hold"
},
"risk_assessment": {
"volatility_risk": 28.84669669332776,
"regime_risk": "sideways",
"confidence_adjusted": true,
"position_size_factor": 0.0111,
"capital_allocator": {
"base_position": 0.4826,
"regime_multiplier": 0.75,
"disagreement_multiplier": 0.55,
"conviction_multiplier": 0.2,
"event_multiplier": 0.35,
"volatility_multiplier": 0.8,
"final_allocation": 0.0111,
"conviction_used": "HOLD",
"action_mode": "watchlist_bias_only",
"asset_category": "Stocks",
"asset_multiplier": 1.0
}
},
"regime": "sideways",
"reflection_notes": [
"\u26a0\ufe0f High signal dispersion - multiple conflicting signals detected",
"\u26a0\ufe0f Very low confidence in current signals - consider reducing position size"
],
"timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:50.425672",
"expires_at": "2026-05-02T16:17:50.425659",
"conviction": "HOLD"
},
"meta_analysis": {
"consensus": "hold",
"confidence_level": "very_low",
"confidence_score": 22.66673817949953,
"disagreement": 0.5714285714285714,
"agent_breakdown": {
"researcher_main": {
"role": "researcher",
"signal": "hold",
"confidence": 53.08433451299346,
"reasoning": "Mixed signals from research",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"trader_momentum": {
"role": "trader",
"signal": "buy",
"confidence": 47.75,
"reasoning": "Momentum strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"trader_reversion": {
"role": "trader",
"signal": "hold",
"confidence": 47.75,
"reasoning": "Mean Reversion strategy: Neutral market conditions",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"trader_breakout": {
"role": "trader",
"signal": "buy",
"confidence": 57.0,
"reasoning": "Breakout strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"trader_trend": {
"role": "trader",
"signal": "buy",
"confidence": 47.75,
"reasoning": "Trend Following strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"ml_forecast_main": {
"role": "executor",
"signal": "no_signal",
"confidence": 0,
"reasoning": "Trained ML stack unavailable",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
},
"risk_manager_main": {
"role": "risk_manager",
"signal": "hold",
"confidence": 63.99999999999999,
"reasoning": "Moderate risk: moderate volatility",
"weak_bias": null,
"directional_probability": null,
"why_it_matters": null
}
},
"signal_counts": {
"hold": 3,
"buy": 3,
"no_signal": 1
},
"weak_bias_summary": {
"overall_bias": "bullish",
"ml_weight": 0.0,
"dominant_agents": [
"risk_manager_main"
],
"confidence_adjusted_bias": "bullish",
"agent_biases": {}
},
"meta_probability": {
"bullish": 0.616,
"neutral": 0.384,
"bearish": 0.0
},
"weighted_meta_components": {
"bullish_weight": 0.6161,
"neutral_weight": 0.3839,
"bearish_weight": 0.0,
"total_bias_weight": 1.0
},
"action_guidance": {
"mode": "watchlist_bias_only",
"trigger": "breakout above resistance (284.34) OR volume expansion",
"risk_note": "high RSI (71.5) limits upside near-term; trend context: strong uptrend; agent disagreement is elevated"
},
"conviction": "HOLD",
"portfolio_overlay": {
"mode": "standalone",
"related_symbols": [],
"impact_scope": "single_symbol"
},
"event_overlay": {
"significant_news": true,
"news_volume": 18,
"event_bias": "neutral",
"trigger": null,
"override_applied": false
}
},
"agent_signals": [
{
"agent_id": "researcher_main",
"agent_role": "researcher",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "hold",
"confidence": 53.08433451299346,
"reasoning": "Mixed signals from research",
"timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.634663",
"metadata": {
"sentiment": 0.35421672564967277,
"news_volume": 18,
"significant_news": true,
"pe_ratio": 34.35,
"pb_ratio": 44.98,
"eps": 7.9,
"global_regime": "sideways",
"detected_regime": "sideways"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "trader_momentum",
"agent_role": "trader",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "buy",
"confidence": 47.75,
"reasoning": "Momentum strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.674993",
"metadata": {
"price": 284.3399963378906,
"sma_20": 266.5689987182617,
"sma_50": 261.3025994873047,
"sma_200": 254.92236846923828,
"ema_12": 270.94331475451384,
"ema_26": 266.2470201590478,
"macd": 4.696294595466043,
"macd_signal": 3.5218482986367263,
"macd_hist": 1.1744462968293163,
"rsi_14": 71.51660785507012,
"bb_upper": 281.2485501457747,
"bb_middle": 266.5689987182617,
"bb_lower": 251.8894472907487,
"bb_width": 0.1101369739024146,
"bb_position": 1.105297706383651,
"atr_14": 6.769995553152902,
"volume_ratio": 1.0775528047846004,
"obv": 877625744.0,
"support_60d": 246.6300048828125,
"resistance_60d": 284.3399963378906,
"adx": 9.750808230297565,
"volatility_20d": 28.84669669332776,
"volatility_60d": 26.40106790761136,
"crossovers": {
"golden_cross": "False",
"death_cross": "False",
"price_above_50": "True",
"price_above_200": "True",
"macd_bullish": "False",
"macd_bearish": "False"
},
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"global_regime": "sideways",
"detected_regime": "sideways"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "trader_reversion",
"agent_role": "trader",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "hold",
"confidence": 47.75,
"reasoning": "Mean Reversion strategy: Neutral market conditions",
"timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.713867",
"metadata": {
"price": 284.3399963378906,
"sma_20": 266.5689987182617,
"sma_50": 261.3025994873047,
"sma_200": 254.92236846923828,
"ema_12": 270.94331475451384,
"ema_26": 266.2470201590478,
"macd": 4.696294595466043,
"macd_signal": 3.5218482986367263,
"macd_hist": 1.1744462968293163,
"rsi_14": 71.51660785507012,
"bb_upper": 281.2485501457747,
"bb_middle": 266.5689987182617,
"bb_lower": 251.8894472907487,
"bb_width": 0.1101369739024146,
"bb_position": 1.105297706383651,
"atr_14": 6.769995553152902,
"volume_ratio": 1.0775528047846004,
"obv": 877625744.0,
"support_60d": 246.6300048828125,
"resistance_60d": 284.3399963378906,
"adx": 9.750808230297565,
"volatility_20d": 28.84669669332776,
"volatility_60d": 26.40106790761136,
"crossovers": {
"golden_cross": "False",
"death_cross": "False",
"price_above_50": "True",
"price_above_200": "True",
"macd_bullish": "False",
"macd_bearish": "False"
},
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"global_regime": "sideways",
"detected_regime": "sideways"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "trader_breakout",
"agent_role": "trader",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "buy",
"confidence": 57.0,
"reasoning": "Breakout strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.751366",
"metadata": {
"price": 284.3399963378906,
"sma_20": 266.5689987182617,
"sma_50": 261.3025994873047,
"sma_200": 254.92236846923828,
"ema_12": 270.94331475451384,
"ema_26": 266.2470201590478,
"macd": 4.696294595466043,
"macd_signal": 3.5218482986367263,
"macd_hist": 1.1744462968293163,
"rsi_14": 71.51660785507012,
"bb_upper": 281.2485501457747,
"bb_middle": 266.5689987182617,
"bb_lower": 251.8894472907487,
"bb_width": 0.1101369739024146,
"bb_position": 1.105297706383651,
"atr_14": 6.769995553152902,
"volume_ratio": 1.0775528047846004,
"obv": 877625744.0,
"support_60d": 246.6300048828125,
"resistance_60d": 284.3399963378906,
"adx": 9.750808230297565,
"volatility_20d": 28.84669669332776,
"volatility_60d": 26.40106790761136,
"crossovers": {
"golden_cross": "False",
"death_cross": "False",
"price_above_50": "True",
"price_above_200": "True",
"macd_bullish": "False",
"macd_bearish": "False"
},
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"global_regime": "sideways",
"detected_regime": "sideways"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "trader_trend",
"agent_role": "trader",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "buy",
"confidence": 47.75,
"reasoning": "Trend Following strategy: Bullish signals from MACD, MA",
"timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:49.784304",
"metadata": {
"price": 284.3399963378906,
"sma_20": 266.5689987182617,
"sma_50": 261.3025994873047,
"sma_200": 254.92236846923828,
"ema_12": 270.94331475451384,
"ema_26": 266.2470201590478,
"macd": 4.696294595466043,
"macd_signal": 3.5218482986367263,
"macd_hist": 1.1744462968293163,
"rsi_14": 71.51660785507012,
"bb_upper": 281.2485501457747,
"bb_middle": 266.5689987182617,
"bb_lower": 251.8894472907487,
"bb_width": 0.1101369739024146,
"bb_position": 1.105297706383651,
"atr_14": 6.769995553152902,
"volume_ratio": 1.0775528047846004,
"obv": 877625744.0,
"support_60d": 246.6300048828125,
"resistance_60d": 284.3399963378906,
"adx": 9.750808230297565,
"volatility_20d": 28.84669669332776,
"volatility_60d": 26.40106790761136,
"crossovers": {
"golden_cross": "False",
"death_cross": "False",
"price_above_50": "True",
"price_above_200": "True",
"macd_bullish": "False",
"macd_bearish": "False"
},
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"global_regime": "sideways",
"detected_regime": "sideways"
}
},
{
"agent_id": "ml_forecast_main",
"agent_role": "executor",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "no_signal",
"confidence": 0,
"reasoning": "Trained ML stack unavailable",
"timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:50.270531",
"metadata": {
"source": "trained_ml",
"global_regime": "sideways",
"detected_regime": "sideways",
"market_regime": "sideways",
"coverage_snapshot": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"roots": [
"/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models",
"/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models/research"
],
"method_counts": {
"rf": 15,
"xgb": 15,
"lightgbm": 15
},
"latest_artifacts": {
"rf": "/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models/research/AAPL_rf_5d_20260430.pkl",
"xgb": "/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models/research/AAPL_xgb_5d_20260430.pkl",
"lightgbm": "/home/forpy/public_html/python_app/modules/ml/ml_models/research/AAPL_lightgbm_5d_20260430.pkl"
},
"total_matches": 45,
"has_any": true
},
"action_layer": {
"regime": "sideways"
},
"quality_gate": {
"global_regime": "sideways"
}
}
},
{
"agent_id": "risk_manager_main",
"agent_role": "risk_manager",
"symbol": "AAPL",
"signal_type": "hold",
"confidence": 63.99999999999999,
"reasoning": "Moderate risk: moderate volatility",
"timestamp": "2026-05-01T16:17:50.385672",
"metadata": {
"regime": "sideways",
"volatility": 28.84669669332776,
"risk_level": "moderate",
"current_drawdown": -0.5534572291681639,
"max_drawdown_1y": -13.798524235020482,
"risk_action": "NEUTRAL",
"global_regime": "sideways",
"detected_regime": "sideways"
}
}
],
"reflection_notes": [
"\u26a0\ufe0f Very low confidence in current signals - consider reducing position size"
],
"drift_analysis": {
"drift_detected": false,
"drift_score": 20,
"regime_changes_30d": 1,
"current_regime": "sideways",
"recommendation": "Models performing as expected"
},
"technical_summary": {
"price": 284.3399963378906,
"rsi": 71.51660785507012,
"trend": "strong_uptrend",
"volatility": 28.84669669332776,
"support": 246.6300048828125,
"resistance": 284.3399963378906
}
}
🤖 Active Agent Architecture
Research & Analysis
- • Researcher Agent - Fundamentals & Sentiment
- • Trader (Momentum) - Technical Momentum
- • Trader (Mean Reversion) - Oversold/Overbought
- • Trader (Breakout) - Price Breakouts
- • ML Forecast Agent - Trained Model Inference
Risk & Meta
- • Trader (Trend Following) - Trend Analysis
- • Risk Manager - Volatility & Drawdown
- • Meta Analyst - Consensus & Confidence